Kentaro Fukumoto

(福元健太郎)

Profile Information

Affiliation: Professor, Faculty of Law, Department of Political Studies, Faculty of Law Department of Political Studies, Gakushuin University

Degree: 博士（法学）(東京大学)

J-GLOBAL ID: 200901004117561783
researchmap Member ID: 1000185146

External link: https://sites.google.com/g.ecc.u-tokyo.ac.jp/kentarofukumoto/

政治学、特に統計分析の開発に焦点をあてる政治分析方法論という分野を専攻しています。立法活動から研究を始めましたが、現在は選挙に比重を移しています。

Research Interests

Research Areas

Humanities & social sciences / Politics /

Research History

2024 - Present

教授, 大学院法学政治学研究科, 東京大学
2007 - 2024

Professor, Gakushuin Univ.
2007 - 2024

-:学習院大学法学部教授
2014 - 2015

Washington University in St. Louis
2000 - 2007

Associate Professor, Gakushuin Univ.

Committee Memberships

Awards

2013

日本選挙学会優秀論文賞

Papers

Not monotonically correlated, but dependent: A family of normal mode copulas

Kentaro Fukumoto

Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, Oct 18, 2025
Legislators’ sentiment analysis supervised by legislators

Akitaka Matsuo, Kentaro Fukumoto

Political Science Research and Methods, Sep 5, 2025
The Effect of Candidate List Position on Vote Share: Improving Internal Validity and Expanding Scope Conditions

Kentaro Fukumoto

Social Science Quarterly, Mar, 2025
The rally ‘round the flag effect in third parties: the case of the Russian invasion of Ukraine

Kentaro Fukumoto, Takahiro Tabuchi

Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, Jan 2, 2025
After a Storm Come Votes: Identifying the Effects of Disaster Relief on Electoral Outcomes

Kentaro Fukumoto, Kyosuke Kikuta

Political Behavior, Dec, 2024

Misc.

「自然実験」

福元健太郎

薩摩順吉・大石進一・杉原正顕編『応用数理ハンドブック』, 220-21, 2013
Unstable Respondents Make Approval Rate Unstable : Double Beta Regression for Proportion Data Composed of Heterogeneous Binary Responses

Fukumoto Kentaro

40 359-360, Sep 13, 2012
「ゲームで学ぶ政治学7 権力か政策か」

福元健太郎

『ＵＰ』, 41(473) 22-27, 2012
「ヤバい政治学データで分かる政治のウラ表」第1回『政治不信が高まると投票率が低くなる』は本当か詳細なデータ分析から浮かび上がる意外な事実

福元健太郎, 堀内勇作

『日経ビジネス』オンライン版, 2012
「ヤバい政治学データで分かる政治のウラ表」第2回笑う門には『票』来たる顔認証技術が明らかにした無責任な投票行動

福元健太郎, 堀内勇作

『日経ビジネス』オンライン版, 2012

Books and Other Publications

The SAGE Handbook of Research Methods in Political Science and International Relations

Fukumoto, Kentaro (Role: Contributor, Duration Analysis, pp. 659-678)

Sage, 2020
『立法の制度と過程』

木鐸社, 2007
『日本政治変動の30年：政治家・官僚・団体調査に見る構造変容』

東洋経済新報社, 2006
『アクセス日本政治論』

日本経済評論社, 2003
Political Studies on Democracy(co-author)

University of Tokyo Press, 2002

Presentations

177

Detecting Unnatural Patterns in Radioactivity Monitoring Statistics in Japan through Natural Experiments

人工知能学会・人工知能基本問題研究会, 2013
Boundary that Matters?: Causal Inference of the School Quality Effect on Land Prices

Economic Science Association, National Institute of Informatics, 2013
Treated Politicians, Treated Voters: A Natural Experiment to Estimate Electoral Effects on Fiscal Expenditure

応用経済時系列研究会, 2013
Detecting Unnatural Patterns in Radioactivity Monitoring Statistics in Japan through Natural Experiments

2013
Boundary that Matters?: Causal Inference of the School Quality Effect on Land Prices

Economic Science Association, National Institute of Informatics, 2013

Professional Memberships

Works

国会運営と立法行動の長期的変化に関する理論的・実証的研究

2001 - 2004
Study on the Diet

2001 - 2004

Research Projects

Innovating Electoral Mobilization: Strategic Targeting, Bulletin Board Outreach, and Canvassing

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Jun, 2025 - Mar, 2030
投票率を上げる：屋外実験で確かめる

科学研究費助成事業, 日本学術振興会, Apr, 2025 - Mar, 2030

福元健太郎, 松林哲也, 善教将大
人は政党や企業などをどのように数えるか

科学研究費助成事業, 日本学術振興会, Jun, 2024 - Mar, 2027

福元健太郎
The effects of visual image on political behavior

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Apr, 2019 - Mar, 2024
日本から世界への「行動政治学」の発信：オンライン実験による非合理的政治行動の研究

科学研究費助成事業, 日本学術振興会, Apr, 2019 - Mar, 2024

福元健太郎, 稲増一憲, 遠藤晶久, 尾野嘉邦, 善教将大, 肥前洋一, 三輪洋文
災害政策の不正を正す

科学研究費助成事業, 日本学術振興会, Jun, 2019 - Mar, 2023

福元健太郎, 菊田恭輔
Causal Inference on Voter Turnout by Exploiting As-if Random Timing of Municipal Elections

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Apr, 2016 - Mar, 2019

Fukumoto Kentaro
Time Series Analysis of Cabinet Approval Ratings and Their Interaction with Political Events, News Reports, and Public Opinion

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Apr, 2014 - Mar, 2019

Fukumoto Kentaro
A Comprehensive Analysis of Malapportionment around the World: Situation, Causes, and Consequences

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Apr, 2014 - Mar, 2017

Kasuya Yuko, HORIUCHI Yusaku, HIROI Taeko
Catching Bid Rigging: New Detectors of Bid Rigging, with Application to Bidding Data before and after Corrupted Governors' Arrest

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Apr, 2012 - Mar, 2015

FUKUMOTO Kentaro
Political Change in Postwar Japan and the Elections of the House of Councillors: Empirical Study based on Municipality-Level Data

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Apr, 2009 - Mar, 2014

FUKUMOTO Kentaro, NATORI Ryota, TSUTSUMI Hidenori, TSUJI Akira, KISHIMOTO Kazuo, HORIUCHI Yusaku
Analyzing bids on public projects based on knowledge discovery from discrete data structures

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, 2011 - 2013

KUBOYAMA Tetsuji, FUKUMOTO Kentaro
Invention of Political Methodology in Japan : A Case of Statistical Model of Position Assignment of the Liberal Democratic Party Government

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, 2009 - 2011

FUKUMOTO Kentaro
Democracy and Political Institutions

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, 2008 - 2010

KAWATO Sadafumi, MASUYAMA Mikitaka, YAMADA Masahiro, MACHIDORI Satoshi, NARAOKA Sochi, MURAI Ryota, FUKUMOTO Kentaro
Political Change and Decision Making Mechanism of the Japanese : Integration of Psychological Economic Experiment and Public Opinion Survey

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, 2006 - 2008

TANAKA Aiji, KOHNO Masaru, SHIMIZU Kazumi, YAMADA Masahiro, WATABE Motoki, KUME Ikuo, NISHIZAWA Yoshitaka, HASEGAWA Mariko, FUNAKI Yukihiko, SHINADA Yutaka, KURIYAMA Kohichi, FUKUMOTO Kentaro, IMAI Ryosuke, HINO Airo, IIDA Takeshi
Strategic Relationship among the Judiciary, the Executive and Legislature

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, 2006 - 2007

FUKUMOTO Kentaro, SAKAMOTO Koji, MACHIDORI Satoshi, MASUYAMA Mikitaka
Theoretical and Empirical Research into the Long-term Change in the Management of the Diet and the Legislative Behavior : Institutional Changes and Behavioral Changes

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, 2002 - 2004

KAWATO Sadafumi, SAKAMOTO Kojiro, MASUYAMA Mikitaka, MACHIDORI Satoshi
Political Methodology

2004
政治学方法論

2004
国会改革の統計分析による基礎づけ

科学研究費助成事業, 日本学術振興会, 2001 - 2002

福元健太郎
National Research and Study on Political Funding

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, 1998 - 1999

SASAKI Takeshi, KAMO Toshio, KAWATO Sadafumi, TANIGUCHI Masaki, FUKUMOTO Kentaro, TANI Satomi
政治改革をめぐる政治過程の研究

科学研究費助成事業, 日本学術振興会, 1996 - 1997

佐々木毅, 福元健太郎, 中北浩爾, 谷口将紀, 成田憲彦
Citizen, Participation and Policy
Politics in the Japanese Diet
政治データに適した統計手法の開発
選挙分析
国会の法案審議や議員の分析
近代日本の個人観 -国家政策と市民参加-
日本の国会政治

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