Researcher Search Results Kentaro Fukumoto Kentaro Fukumoto (福元 健太郎) Please select the form format to download from below 「Education and research environment」format 「No. 4, the Ministry of Education document style ①Outline for Vitae」format 「No. 4, the Ministry of Education document style ②Education and research environment」format Profile Information AffiliationProfessor, Faculty of Law, Department of Political Studies, Faculty of Law Department of Political Studies, Gakushuin UniversityDegree博士(法学)(東京大学)J-GLOBAL ID200901004117561783researchmap Member ID1000185146External linkhttp://www.gakshuin.ac.jp/~e982440/政治学、特に統計分析の開発に焦点をあてる政治分析方法論という分野を専攻しています。立法活動から研究を始めましたが、現在は選挙に比重を移しています。 Research Interests 8 選挙 統計学 政治分析方法論 参加 立法 Political methodology Participation Legislation Research Areas 1 Humanities & social sciences / Politics / Research History 11 2007 - Present Professor, Gakushuin Univ. 2014 - 2015 Washington University in St. Louis 2000 - 2007 Associate Professor, Gakushuin Univ. 2000 - 2007 :学習院大学法学部助教授 2007 -:学習院大学法学部教授 More Committee Memberships 3 2010 日本選挙学会 2010年度年報編集委員、2012年度企画委員、2008年度企画委員 2009 日本政治学会 2009年度年報委員 理事(2012年4月~2015年11月) 第25回大会企画委員 学会誌編集委員(61号編集委員、62号編集長(副担当)、67号編集委員長・編集長(主担当)), 公共選択学会 Awards 1 2013 日本選挙学会優秀論文賞 Papers 38 Effect of the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympic Games on COVID-19 incidence in Japan: a synthetic control approach Daisuke Yoneoka, Akifumi Eguchi, Kentato Fukumoto, Takayuki Kawashima, Yuta Tanoue, Takahiro Tabuchi, Hiroaki Miyata, Cyrus Ghaznavi, Kenji Shibuya, Shuhei Nomura BMJ Open, Sep, 2022 Peer-reviewed The Rally 'round the Flag Effect in a Third Party: The Japanese Reaction to the Russian Invasion of Ukraine Kentaro Fukumoto, Takahiro Tabuchi May 14, 2022 Nonignorable Attrition in Pairwise Randomized Experiments Kentaro Fukumoto Political Analysis, 30(1) 132-141, Jan, 2022 Peer-reviewed No causal effect of school closures in Japan on the spread of COVID-19 in spring 2020 Kentaro Fukumoto, Charles T. McClean, Kuninori Nakagawa Nature Medicine, Dec, 2021 Peer-reviewed 投票所閉鎖時刻繰り上げと投票率・各党得票率の関係 福元健太郎, 菊田恭輔 選挙研究, 37(1) 47-57, 2021 Peer-reviewed More Misc. 45 「自然実験」 福元 健太郎 薩摩順吉・大石進一・杉原正顕編『応用数理ハンドブック』, 220-21, 2013 Unstable Respondents Make Approval Rate Unstable : Double Beta Regression for Proportion Data Composed of Heterogeneous Binary Responses Fukumoto Kentaro 40 359-360, Sep 13, 2012 「ゲームで学ぶ政治学7 権力か政策か」 福元 健太郎 『UP』, 41(473) 22-27, 2012 「ヤバい政治学 データで分かる政治のウラ表」第1回 『政治不信が高まると投票率が低くなる』は本当か 詳細なデータ分析から浮かび上がる意外な事実 福元 健太郎, 堀内勇作 『日経ビジネス』オンライン版, 2012 「ヤバい政治学 データで分かる政治のウラ表」第2回 笑う門には『票』来たる 顔認証技術が明らかにした無責任な投票行動 福元 健太郎, 堀内勇作 『日経ビジネス』オンライン版, 2012 More Books and Other Publications 11 The SAGE Handbook of Research Methods in Political Science and International Relations Fukumoto, Kentaro (Role: Contributor, Duration Analysis, pp. 659-678) Sage, 2020 『立法の制度と過程』 木鐸社, 2007 『日本政治 変動の30年:政治家・官僚・団体調査に見る構造変容』 東洋経済新報社, 2006 『アクセス 日本政治論』 日本経済評論社, 2003 Political Studies on Democracy(co-author) University of Tokyo Press, 2002 More Presentations 192 A Bayesian View of Party Systems 公共選択学会, 2010 The Staggered-Term Chamber as A Laboratory: The Effects of Election Proximity on Participatory Shirking SPM, 2010 The Staggered-Term Chamber as A Laboratory: The Effects of Election Proximity on Participatory Shirking APSA, 2010 A Bayesian View of Party Systems APSA, 2010 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 行動計量学会, 2010 A Bayesian View of Party Systems 日本政治学会, 2010 Boundary that Matters?: Causal Inference of the School Quality Effect on Land Prices 研究集会「時空間現象データに対する統計科学モデルの構築及び解析に関する組織的研究」, 2010 Bayesian Estimation of Incumbency Advantage and Campaign Spending Effect without Simultaneity Bias International Workshop on Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics, 2010 Extension of the ‘SNTV = d'Hondt’ Theory and the Threshold of Exclusion to Multiple, Limited, Cumulative Vote 2010 Extension of the ‘SNTV = d'Hondt’ Theory and the Threshold of Exclusion to Multiple, Limited, Cumulative Vote Public Choice Society, 2010 Extension of the ‘SNTV = d'Hondt’ Theory and the Threshold of Exclusion to Multiple, Limited, Cumulative Vote MPSA, 2010 Bayesian Estimation of Incumbency Advantage and Campaign Spending Effect without Simultaneity Bias MPSA, 2010 Extension of the ‘SNTV = d'Hondt’ Theory and the Threshold of Exclusion to Multiple, Limited, Cumulative Vote 2010 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 2010 A Bayesian View of Party Systems 2010 A Bayesian View of Party Systems 2010 The Staggered-Term Chamber as A Laboratory: The Effects of Election Proximity on Participatory Shirking SPM, 2010 The Staggered-Term Chamber as A Laboratory: The Effects of Election Proximity on Participatory Shirking APSA, 2010 A Bayesian View of Party Systems APSA, 2010 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 2010 A Bayesian View of Party Systems 2010 Boundary that Matters?: Causal Inference of the School Quality Effect on Land Prices 2010 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment MPSA, 2009 Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model MPSA, 2009 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment 日本選挙学会, 2009 「事前規制型社会から事後裁定型社会へ:ゲーム論的アプローチ」 日本経済学会, 2009 Extension of the ‘SNTV = d'Hondt’ Theory and the Threshold of Exclusion to Multiple, Limited, Cumulative Vote 公共選択学会, 2009 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment SPM, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula SPM, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula APSA, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 研究集会「生物情報を解明するための統計数学的基礎理論とその応用」, 2009 Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model Workshop on “Legislative Elections, Process, and Policy: The Influence of Bicameralism”, 2009 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment 研究集会「時空間現象データに対する統計科学モデルの構築及び解析に関する組織的研究」, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 研究集会「非対称分布の統計学」, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 応用統計ワークショップ, 2009 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment MPSA, 2009 Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model MPSA, 2009 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment 2009 Extension of the ‘SNTV = d'Hondt’ Theory and the Threshold of Exclusion to Multiple, Limited, Cumulative Vote 2009 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment SPM, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula SPM, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula APSA, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 2009 Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model Workshop on “Legislative Elections, Process, and Policy: The Influence of Bicameralism”, 2009 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 2009 Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model ゲーム理論セミナー, 2008 Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model 京都ゲーム理論ワークショップ, 2008 Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model 数理社会学会, 2008 «1234» Professional Memberships 6 日本経済学会 公共選択学会 Midwest Political Science Association American Political Science Association 日本選挙学会 More Works 2 国会運営と立法行動の長期的変化に関する理論的・実証的研究 2001 - 2004 Study on the Diet 2001 - 2004 Research Projects 26 The effects of visual image on political behavior Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Apr, 2019 - Mar, 2024 日本から世界への「行動政治学」の発信:オンライン実験による非合理的政治行動の研究 科学研究費助成事業, 日本学術振興会, Apr, 2019 - Mar, 2024 福元 健太郎, 稲増 一憲, 遠藤 晶久, 尾野 嘉邦, 善教 将大, 肥前 洋一, 三輪 洋文 災害政策の不正を正す 科学研究費助成事業, 日本学術振興会, Jun, 2019 - Mar, 2023 福元 健太郎, 菊田 恭輔 Causal Inference on Voter Turnout by Exploiting As-if Random Timing of Municipal Elections Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Apr, 2016 - Mar, 2019 Fukumoto Kentaro Time Series Analysis of Cabinet Approval Ratings and Their Interaction with Political Events, News Reports, and Public Opinion Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Apr, 2014 - Mar, 2019 Fukumoto Kentaro More
Kentaro Fukumoto (福元 健太郎) Please select the form format to download from below 「Education and research environment」format 「No. 4, the Ministry of Education document style ①Outline for Vitae」format 「No. 4, the Ministry of Education document style ②Education and research environment」format Profile Information AffiliationProfessor, Faculty of Law, Department of Political Studies, Faculty of Law Department of Political Studies, Gakushuin UniversityDegree博士(法学)(東京大学)J-GLOBAL ID200901004117561783researchmap Member ID1000185146External linkhttp://www.gakshuin.ac.jp/~e982440/政治学、特に統計分析の開発に焦点をあてる政治分析方法論という分野を専攻しています。立法活動から研究を始めましたが、現在は選挙に比重を移しています。 Research Interests 8 選挙 統計学 政治分析方法論 参加 立法 Political methodology Participation Legislation Research Areas 1 Humanities & social sciences / Politics / Research History 11 2007 - Present Professor, Gakushuin Univ. 2014 - 2015 Washington University in St. Louis 2000 - 2007 Associate Professor, Gakushuin Univ. 2000 - 2007 :学習院大学法学部助教授 2007 -:学習院大学法学部教授 More Committee Memberships 3 2010 日本選挙学会 2010年度年報編集委員、2012年度企画委員、2008年度企画委員 2009 日本政治学会 2009年度年報委員 理事(2012年4月~2015年11月) 第25回大会企画委員 学会誌編集委員(61号編集委員、62号編集長(副担当)、67号編集委員長・編集長(主担当)), 公共選択学会 Awards 1 2013 日本選挙学会優秀論文賞 Papers 38 Effect of the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympic Games on COVID-19 incidence in Japan: a synthetic control approach Daisuke Yoneoka, Akifumi Eguchi, Kentato Fukumoto, Takayuki Kawashima, Yuta Tanoue, Takahiro Tabuchi, Hiroaki Miyata, Cyrus Ghaznavi, Kenji Shibuya, Shuhei Nomura BMJ Open, Sep, 2022 Peer-reviewed The Rally 'round the Flag Effect in a Third Party: The Japanese Reaction to the Russian Invasion of Ukraine Kentaro Fukumoto, Takahiro Tabuchi May 14, 2022 Nonignorable Attrition in Pairwise Randomized Experiments Kentaro Fukumoto Political Analysis, 30(1) 132-141, Jan, 2022 Peer-reviewed No causal effect of school closures in Japan on the spread of COVID-19 in spring 2020 Kentaro Fukumoto, Charles T. McClean, Kuninori Nakagawa Nature Medicine, Dec, 2021 Peer-reviewed 投票所閉鎖時刻繰り上げと投票率・各党得票率の関係 福元健太郎, 菊田恭輔 選挙研究, 37(1) 47-57, 2021 Peer-reviewed More Misc. 45 「自然実験」 福元 健太郎 薩摩順吉・大石進一・杉原正顕編『応用数理ハンドブック』, 220-21, 2013 Unstable Respondents Make Approval Rate Unstable : Double Beta Regression for Proportion Data Composed of Heterogeneous Binary Responses Fukumoto Kentaro 40 359-360, Sep 13, 2012 「ゲームで学ぶ政治学7 権力か政策か」 福元 健太郎 『UP』, 41(473) 22-27, 2012 「ヤバい政治学 データで分かる政治のウラ表」第1回 『政治不信が高まると投票率が低くなる』は本当か 詳細なデータ分析から浮かび上がる意外な事実 福元 健太郎, 堀内勇作 『日経ビジネス』オンライン版, 2012 「ヤバい政治学 データで分かる政治のウラ表」第2回 笑う門には『票』来たる 顔認証技術が明らかにした無責任な投票行動 福元 健太郎, 堀内勇作 『日経ビジネス』オンライン版, 2012 More Books and Other Publications 11 The SAGE Handbook of Research Methods in Political Science and International Relations Fukumoto, Kentaro (Role: Contributor, Duration Analysis, pp. 659-678) Sage, 2020 『立法の制度と過程』 木鐸社, 2007 『日本政治 変動の30年:政治家・官僚・団体調査に見る構造変容』 東洋経済新報社, 2006 『アクセス 日本政治論』 日本経済評論社, 2003 Political Studies on Democracy(co-author) University of Tokyo Press, 2002 More Presentations 192 A Bayesian View of Party Systems 公共選択学会, 2010 The Staggered-Term Chamber as A Laboratory: The Effects of Election Proximity on Participatory Shirking SPM, 2010 The Staggered-Term Chamber as A Laboratory: The Effects of Election Proximity on Participatory Shirking APSA, 2010 A Bayesian View of Party Systems APSA, 2010 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 行動計量学会, 2010 A Bayesian View of Party Systems 日本政治学会, 2010 Boundary that Matters?: Causal Inference of the School Quality Effect on Land Prices 研究集会「時空間現象データに対する統計科学モデルの構築及び解析に関する組織的研究」, 2010 Bayesian Estimation of Incumbency Advantage and Campaign Spending Effect without Simultaneity Bias International Workshop on Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics, 2010 Extension of the ‘SNTV = d'Hondt’ Theory and the Threshold of Exclusion to Multiple, Limited, Cumulative Vote 2010 Extension of the ‘SNTV = d'Hondt’ Theory and the Threshold of Exclusion to Multiple, Limited, Cumulative Vote Public Choice Society, 2010 Extension of the ‘SNTV = d'Hondt’ Theory and the Threshold of Exclusion to Multiple, Limited, Cumulative Vote MPSA, 2010 Bayesian Estimation of Incumbency Advantage and Campaign Spending Effect without Simultaneity Bias MPSA, 2010 Extension of the ‘SNTV = d'Hondt’ Theory and the Threshold of Exclusion to Multiple, Limited, Cumulative Vote 2010 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 2010 A Bayesian View of Party Systems 2010 A Bayesian View of Party Systems 2010 The Staggered-Term Chamber as A Laboratory: The Effects of Election Proximity on Participatory Shirking SPM, 2010 The Staggered-Term Chamber as A Laboratory: The Effects of Election Proximity on Participatory Shirking APSA, 2010 A Bayesian View of Party Systems APSA, 2010 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 2010 A Bayesian View of Party Systems 2010 Boundary that Matters?: Causal Inference of the School Quality Effect on Land Prices 2010 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment MPSA, 2009 Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model MPSA, 2009 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment 日本選挙学会, 2009 「事前規制型社会から事後裁定型社会へ:ゲーム論的アプローチ」 日本経済学会, 2009 Extension of the ‘SNTV = d'Hondt’ Theory and the Threshold of Exclusion to Multiple, Limited, Cumulative Vote 公共選択学会, 2009 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment SPM, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula SPM, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula APSA, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 研究集会「生物情報を解明するための統計数学的基礎理論とその応用」, 2009 Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model Workshop on “Legislative Elections, Process, and Policy: The Influence of Bicameralism”, 2009 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment 研究集会「時空間現象データに対する統計科学モデルの構築及び解析に関する組織的研究」, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 研究集会「非対称分布の統計学」, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 応用統計ワークショップ, 2009 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment MPSA, 2009 Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model MPSA, 2009 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment 2009 Extension of the ‘SNTV = d'Hondt’ Theory and the Threshold of Exclusion to Multiple, Limited, Cumulative Vote 2009 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment SPM, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula SPM, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula APSA, 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 2009 Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model Workshop on “Legislative Elections, Process, and Policy: The Influence of Bicameralism”, 2009 Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 2009 What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Continuous or Ordered Event History Analysis Using Copula 2009 Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model ゲーム理論セミナー, 2008 Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model 京都ゲーム理論ワークショップ, 2008 Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model 数理社会学会, 2008 «1234» Professional Memberships 6 日本経済学会 公共選択学会 Midwest Political Science Association American Political Science Association 日本選挙学会 More Works 2 国会運営と立法行動の長期的変化に関する理論的・実証的研究 2001 - 2004 Study on the Diet 2001 - 2004 Research Projects 26 The effects of visual image on political behavior Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Apr, 2019 - Mar, 2024 日本から世界への「行動政治学」の発信:オンライン実験による非合理的政治行動の研究 科学研究費助成事業, 日本学術振興会, Apr, 2019 - Mar, 2024 福元 健太郎, 稲増 一憲, 遠藤 晶久, 尾野 嘉邦, 善教 将大, 肥前 洋一, 三輪 洋文 災害政策の不正を正す 科学研究費助成事業, 日本学術振興会, Jun, 2019 - Mar, 2023 福元 健太郎, 菊田 恭輔 Causal Inference on Voter Turnout by Exploiting As-if Random Timing of Municipal Elections Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Apr, 2016 - Mar, 2019 Fukumoto Kentaro Time Series Analysis of Cabinet Approval Ratings and Their Interaction with Political Events, News Reports, and Public Opinion Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Apr, 2014 - Mar, 2019 Fukumoto Kentaro More